Plain language, shorter sentences, no jargon.
Hindsight Bias: I Knew It All Along
After an event, we rewrite our memory to make it seem predictable.
Have you ever said I knew that would happen — even though you had no way of knowing beforehand?
Start here: make a prediction before reading
Hindsight bias is the tendency to view past events as more predictable than they actually were. Once we know how something turned out, we unconsciously adjust our memories of what we expected.
This distortion serves our ego by making us seem perceptive. But it prevents genuine learning from mistakes because we falsely remember having predicted the outcome.
Overcoming hindsight bias helps you learn honestly from experience and make better decisions going forward.
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