decision-makingthinkingstrategy~5 min read
Plain language, shorter sentences, no jargon.
Second-Order Thinking: Consequences of Consequences
Most people stop at the first answer; great thinkers ask what happens next
What happens after the thing you want to happen — happens?
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Predict2
Question3
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ReflectionStart here: make a prediction before reading
First-order thinking asks: what will happen if I do this? Second-order thinking asks: and then what?
Most decisions are evaluated only at the first level, which leads to unintended consequences.
Leaders who think further down the causal chain avoid costly surprises.
Surface → Deeper19s until next level
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